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by Mohammed A. Salih

Iraq Endgame Approaching, Bush Ready or Not

(IPS) -- Iraq's national reconciliation conference held on the weekend highlights the gap between the country's various political groups and their lack of consensus on a common basis for reconciliation.

Shia Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's call for the return of members of the country's dissolved army under former president Saddam Hussein was interpreted as positive, but the absence of major Sunni armed groups at the conference held in Baghdad could dash hopes of a comprehensive reconciliation plan.

It is believed that elements loyal to the former ruling Ba'ath party constitute a vital part of the resistance. Sunni leaders demand the abolition of laws keeping former Baathists from official jobs.

Al-Maliki's position on this was seen as confusing and ambiguous.

"National reconciliation embraces all Iraqis except Saddamists and Takfiris (those who declare others to be infidel)," al-Maliki told the conference.

But he said that the "Iraqi government differentiates between the Ba'athists who didn't commit any crimes against Iraqi people and those who perpetrated big crimes against Iraqi people and continue shedding the blood of Iraqis, and carry out assassinations and terrorist acts."

Several major parliamentary blocs boycotted the conference, including the al-Iraqia slate of first post-war premier Ayad Allawi, the Sunni slate of the Iraqi Front National Dialogue led by Salih al-Mutlak, and the al-Sadr bloc loyal to young cleric Muqtada al-Sadr.

That, in addition to rising violence, has disappointed many that a workable solution could emerge from the conference.

"In my opinion, neither this conference nor other similar conferences can easily resolve the current problems," Khasro Pirbal, a political analyst from Arbil told IPS. "When there are people in these meetings who don't accept each other, what results can you expect."

Pirbal said "neighboring countries have turned Iraq into a field for settling old scores." The current tensions in the country are "a part of a historical problem to which several other international and regional parties are contributing now."

The often conflicting views of Iraq's political leaders make it hard for nationwide peace to be realized, many of them acknowledge.

"We have to reiterate that national reconciliation will not include in any way the symbols of Ba'ath Party and its (previous) regime, the criminals, killers, terrorist and Takfirisˆ and their ideological extensions," Fuad Massoum, head of the Kurdistan Alliance Bloc in the Iraqi parliament told the reconciliation gathering.

He called for a federal solution, opposed by many others in and outside Iraq. That envisages broad autonomy to regions within a loosely held together state.

In contrast to Massoum's views, shared by a majority of Kurdish and Shia politicians, Sunnis had a different idea what reconciliation should include.

"We call for a reconsideration of ignoring the military servicemen of the former army (of Saddam Hussein government), dealing with national resistance and differentiating them from terrorism, and preserving the unity of the state," said Salim Abdullah from the main Sunni bloc, the Iraqi Accordance Front.

On the ground, political discord translates into bloody strife that is threatening to turn into a fully-fledged civil war if not contained.

Sunnis accuse Shia militias of carrying out mass abduction operations against them, and attacking their neighborhoods. At checkpoints of sorts, Shia militias can arrest anyone with a Sunni sounding name. In today's Iraq, Sunni names like Omar and Othman can cost you your life at these checkpoints.

Shias, on the other hand, say Sunni extremists are carrying out bombings that ruthlessly target Shia civilians in crowded urban areas. Last month almost 200 Shias were killed by suicide bombers in the al-Sadr city in the capital.

Iraq's government is under immense pressure from Washington to bring the situation under control. Many warn that if al-Maliki's government fails to do so, unrest will spread to the rest of the Middle East region.

"Iraq's crisis is getting deeper and deeper day after day, and the essentials of Iraq's integrity are falling apart," Fattah Zakhoyi from the Kurdistan Toilers' Party that has one seat in the parliament of northern Kurdistan told IPS.

"The political and religious leaders of the country have to realise that this war cannot be continued more than this, and it will jeopardise their interests of their constituents as well as their personal interests."

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Albion Monitor   December 18, 2006   (

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